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Next season's schedule
Forum index >> Center for rookies >> Next season's schedule Goto page : 1, 2
 
Chidash
Posts: 952
Posted on 2010-10-14 21:16:02
Is there any way to know what my team's schedule will be next season? I am ending this season with a league home game and I'd like to do some stadium construction, but I don't want to risk missing revenue if my first league game is a home game.

- Dash
  
pstimpel
Posts: 10622
Posted on 2010-10-14 21:20:34
Chidash wrote:

Is there any way to know what my team's schedule will be next season? I am ending this season with a league home game and I'd like to do some stadium construction, but I don't want to risk missing revenue if my first league game is a home game.

- Dash



Surprise surprise

You will see the schedule around the second wednesday in offseason. It is a bit of gambling, but only a 25% chance to get the last home game of this season and the first home game of the new season.

  
Chidash
Posts: 952
Posted on 2010-10-14 23:08:48
I already have the last home game this season, so isn't it a 50% chance for me to get the first home game for next season?

25% of the teams will get home games the last game of one season and the first of the next.
  
weakestlink33
Posts: 0
Posted on 2010-10-14 23:13:35
Yeah, its 50% for you

Kinda like that scenario where you there is a prize behind 1 of three curtains... You pick a curtain, then they show you that the prize is not behind one of the other 2 curtains and ask you if you want to switch

If you stay with the first curtain, there is still only a 1/3 chance that the prize is behind it

But if you switch to the other one, there is now a 50% chance that its behind that one



Actually, your question isn't all that similar to that scenario... But that one is always fun to discuss because although its really hard to wrap your head around it, it actually is the case (you can test it out in a real experiment with one of your friends and you will find that you only get the prize 1/3 of the time when you don't switch but 50% of the time if you do)
  
TwoPint
Posts: 3613
Posted on 2010-10-14 23:20:30
weakestlink33 wrote:

Yeah, its 50% for you

Kinda like that scenario where you there is a prize behind 1 of three curtains... You pick a curtain, then they show you that the prize is not behind one of the other 2 curtains and ask you if you want to switch

If you stay with the first curtain, there is still only a 1/3 chance that the prize is behind it

But if you switch to the other one, there is now a 50% chance that its behind that one



Actually, your question isn't all that similar to that scenario... But that one is always fun to discuss because although its really hard to wrap your head around it, it actually is the case (you can test it out in a real experiment with one of your friends and you will find that you only get the prize 1/3 of the time when you don't switch but 50% of the time if you do)



You can't post that on these forums. You're just going to confuse people.
  
viktor
Posts: 0
Posted on 2010-10-15 8:38:09
TwoPint wrote:

weakestlink33 wrote:

Yeah, its 50% for you

Kinda like that scenario where you there is a prize behind 1 of three curtains... You pick a curtain, then they show you that the prize is not behind one of the other 2 curtains and ask you if you want to switch

If you stay with the first curtain, there is still only a 1/3 chance that the prize is behind it

But if you switch to the other one, there is now a 50% chance that its behind that one



Actually, your question isn't all that similar to that scenario... But that one is always fun to discuss because although its really hard to wrap your head around it, it actually is the case (you can test it out in a real experiment with one of your friends and you will find that you only get the prize 1/3 of the time when you don't switch but 50% of the time if you do)



You can't post that on these forums. You're just going to confuse people.

lol that reminds me those that cant, teach
  
Scrooge McDuck
Posts: 100
Posted on 2010-10-15 12:02:11
GI - Where football fans and math geeks unite


If you stay with the first curtain, there is still only a 1/3 chance that the prize is behind it

But if you switch to the other one, there is now a 50% chance that its behind that one


That can't be right. Since the prize has to be behind one of the two curtains the probabilities must add up to 100%.
It's 1/3 for the first and 2/3 for the other one.
  
Chidash
Posts: 952
Posted on 2010-10-15 12:09:49
viktor wrote:

[lol that reminds me those that cant, teach



And those that can't teach, teach gym.
  
Thunk
Posts: 0
Posted on 2010-10-15 12:49:44
Well, actually if you just stuck to either of them, they are both 50% chances as he has just eliminated one from 3, so your 33% chance has gone up to 50% chance either way. I like those odds
  
Scrooge McDuck
Posts: 100
Posted on 2010-10-15 13:18:07
Thunk wrote:

Well, actually if you just stuck to either of them, they are both 50% chances as he has just eliminated one from 3, so your 33% chance has gone up to 50% chance either way. I like those odds


No. I could explain why but wikipedia will do a much better job
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem
  
 
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