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Rocking Rackets
Forum index >> Off topic >> Rocking Rackets Goto page : 1, 2, 3, 4
 
Hard-core fan (ultimate supporter owner)ChristyGI Supporter
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Posted on 2017-08-26 22:14:02
Here are the top 22. Top 22 because Corbalan is ranked 22nd the first week of the season:p The age is self explanatory, the Aging factor is what each players factor is. Roughtly speaking it is a measure of how much of his potential a player is playing at due to his age (so young and old players have low percentages, in the prime of your career it is higher. Different players reach their peaks at different ages. Anyway it means that for most attributes if you have 100 skill say and 90% aging you will play like you are a 90 skill player. The score is what I have used to track progress of how good a player is. Basically your attributes combined into a single number saying who is better/worse


1. Alan Gallimore (17years, 35 weeks old, Aging 88%, score: 5.2)
Honestly I feel like this is ill deserved. 5.2 is not good enough for me. He physical attributes are unimpressive. He is talented but certainly not too fit or mentally strong. I reckon once these players start going to the major amateur competitions he will be overtaken.

2. Linus Burmann ( 17 years, 36 weeks, Aging 89%, score 5.6)
Won a JG1 recently, is the second fastest player and pretty strong to boot. Talented, decently fit. His main weaknesses are that he is not mentally the strongest which will hurt him on the important break points and that he is very specialised for clay. We will see what he can do in the hard court Australian open.

3. Se-Jin Ma (17 years, 37 weeks, 95%, 5.56)
Helped enourmasly by how quickly he is aging. Physically strong. Bit of a weak serve holds him back from the top but he brings out his best in the tough moments. I reckon he will fall by the wayside a bit once other kids catch up physically.

4. Stepan Melikov ( 17years 38weeks, 95%, 6.05)
Easily the best player and should take number 1 easily. A hard court specialist so may struggle off it but has one of the best baseline games in the juniors without compromising on his serve too much. He is fast, talented, mentally tough and one of the fittest juniors going. My pick for the Australian Open.

5. Helmut Wirth ( 17years 49weeks 96%, 5.53)
Low score for such a high aging factor but he is a doubles partner for Se-Jin Ma (Same owner) so it is unlikely too many doubles pairings will be able to stand against them in the big competitions.The fittest player in the juniors right now and needs to make that count and get as many skill points as possible. He is also talented which will help with that. Right now he has decent skills, won't climb the summit to number 1 for a while though I reckon.

6. Girardo Amati (17 years 13 weeks, 90%, 5.33)
One of the younger players in the list. Having an end of year bithday is not a good thing in the juniors. Has done well inspite of it though. Relies on his massive physical strength to pound oppenents and good speed into submission. His is a clay specialist and so will be in the conversation in the French but aside from that I don't see him winning the big competitions. Is the least fit player out fo the top 22 and so even with his undoubted talent he will struggle to improve as he will need a lot of rest. I can see him dropping out of the top 10 pretty quickly.

7. Crisovao Aldana (17years 42 weeks, 89%, 5.37)
Again has done well from picking his competitions as opposed to ability. His strength and speed are not weaknesses but not strengths either. A decent all round player that will end up in the later rounds of a fair few competitions without threatening to win them. He has the best serve in the juniors and as such will always be tough to break and therefore beat.

8. Matt Reese ( 17 years 48 weeks, 96%, 5.26)
Incredibly talented and fit, really should have a higher rating than this. Tends to stick mostly to hard courst. He has one of the top baseline games amonst the juniors as well as the best all round physical player. Struggles a bit on the big points and so on close games but should be able to win most matches without them being close. His major issue is a complete lack of a serve. I reckon the overt focus on his baseline game has hurt his ranking and so when he improves hsi serve his ranking will shoot up.

9. Cetko Kropic. (17years, 35 weeks, 85%, 5.45)
Not overly developed and so has a lot of improvement left. Mostly going off good all round skills and mental toughness. I can see a quick rise through the ranks as he starts to get closer to physical maturity.

10. Helmut Erhardt (17 years, 33 weeks, 95%, 5.24)
NCan't see him lasting much longer here. A weak serve but a big physical player. Not ridiculously talented or fit. Not a million miles off his peak but is not that great right now.

11. Gilbert Belgy (17 years 45 weeks 91%, 5.19)
Simply put the best baseline player in the juniors. Bar none. Above average speed and strength but is massively let down by being mentally flaky and having the worst serve in the top 22 here. And probably well below it. Quite fixable as it is a trainable skill and will be cheap but will hurt him massively for the moment. Like Reese his rating will improve quickly once that starts to get improved.

12. Jonathan Stagg (17 years 51 weeks, 87%, 5.63)
Perfect birthday for juniors, he is the oldest of this years graduating class of juniors. Like so many top end juniors his success is built on natural physical ability and talent. He is the strongest and the fastest of the juniors. Fitness is not great and his skills could sue a bit more work but not a draw anyone will relish. Especially on hard courts which are his favourite.

13. Stepan Whitaker (17years 49weeks, 96%, 5.32)
Has gotten this far out of growing up quickly. Another strong baseline game/weak server. His physical skills and mental game are a bit underwhelming though as well as not being the most talented plaeyr out there).

14. Damion Amor (17 years 29weeks, 92%, 5.7)
Highest ranked out of the Spainish players. Decent all round skills but really, really lacks for pace on the court which hurts while receiving. A clay specialist (like all the spainish really). Still I can see him rising slightly in the rankings through his impressive skill/serve.

15. Sergi Calibo (17year 41 weeks, 88%, 4.89)
Another Spainish clay specialist. Not a great serve, physically average but overall I can't see him going far except in the clay season. Even then there are better clay court players.

16. Milos Sirak (17 years 26weeks, 95%, 4.9)
Will dorp like a rock. Slightly better skills than Calibo but not much. Slow on the court and not particularly strong either so will struggle to maintain this position. At 95% already does not have a massive amoun of room for improvement either.

17. Martin Bittner (17years 25 weeks, 93%, 4.48)
Swiss no. 2 but Burmann the number 1 won't see his position under much threat. Skill set is under whelming. Not physically weak, unfit, not overly talented. Honestly I am more impressed he got to this position in the first place as opposed to anything else.

18. Ray Caravia (17 years 21 weeks, 91%, 5.36)
Should raise a bit but even amongst specialists he is incredibly weak off his preferred surface of clay. Can't see him turning up to much else. It is a pity as he his talented and exceptionally mentally tough. Will suddenly appear in the picture in the clay season and might pull with some potential to pull of an upset off of it but I would not hold my breath.

19. Phillipe Gantois (17 years 28 weeks, 87%, 4.86)
Not the best but still some room for improvement. Slightly on the slow side and could be fitter but with plenty of talent and a bit of growing up left to do he could rise in the rankings a bit towards the latter half of the year.

20. Artuer Kulikovsky (17years 25 weeks, 81%, 4.48)
Plenty of room for improvement as he ages but it is needed badly. No great serve and slow. Without the most talent or the best fitness he might struggle to improve as he would hope. Certainly won't be a big player at the start of the year.

21. Bruno Ballou (16 years 51 weeks, 91%, 4.81)
Youngest player in the list and the only one that will be able to play juniors in a years time. Second week of the year birthday and growing up quickly make for a perfect junior player. Physically not the best and has to work on his serve a bit. May well sit out a lot of the big events this year given he can play them next year instead.

22. Bruno Corbalan (17 years 21 weeks, 81%, 4.71)
One of the younger players and tied for the lowest aging factor gives plenty of room for improvement. Not sure it will all happen this year. His physical strength in particular is far too low. His speed his hardly record breaking either. About average in talent but with strong endurance will help him get experience. Strong mental game will help with close matches. Should be able to catch a few ahead of him but is unlikely to trouble the top juniors this year.

And

181st Natalio Arvizu (15 years 33 weeks, 73%, 3.35)
Improving steadily and will get some international action this season. About average physically but decent talent and strong endurance should let him get the skills to do the talking.
  

"In archery we have something like the way of the superior man. When the archer misses the center of the target, he turns round and seeks for the cause of his failure in himself.”— Confucius

Hard-core fan (ultimate supporter owner)ChristyGI Supporter
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Posted on 2017-08-29 22:46:22
Out of the players listed last the time the players who entered into the Australian open entries where in order of seeds
1. Melikov
2. Gallimore,
3. Burmann,
4. Ma,
5. Wirth,
6. Amati,
7. Aldana,
8. Reese,
9. Erhardt,
10. Stagg,
11. Gantois,
12. Sirak which left Corbalan ranked 13th coming into the event.
Caravia had signed up but decided at the last minute ot attend a clay court JG2, probably to protect his position on the Spainish team as he was unlikely to do as well on the hard courts here.
You will notice that Melikov managed to take the top seed from Gallimore before the Open thanks to winning the singles and doubles JG1 in Caracas, Columbia in week 1. Amati also moved up a bit thanks to winning the JG2 in Ecuador the week before the Australian Open (Corbalan came second at this event). Still not sure on playing that event, meant that Corbalan is a bit over played going into the later rounds but ensures he is not underplayed the first few rounds. In the end I decided that it was better to ensure the first few rounds did not see an upset than go for a big result that still might not come.

The first two rounds went mostly to form. Stagg was upset by the 34th ranked Bardan from Czechoslovakia while Sirak lost to the Russian qualifier Shilin. The 3rd round went the way of the favourites and indeed only Burmann (facing the 16th seeded Vidal from France) and Gallimore (against Erhardt) were in any way pushed. Corbalan was knocked out by Reese. I was hoping to do more damage to his serve but once he had the ball in play Corbalan was always at a big disadvantage. He was also fully in form and fit while Corbalan probably had better form for the first two rounds which he had breezed through, including American hard court specialist Falconer who could have been a tricky opponent.

In the end it came down to Melikov Vs Reese. Reese having come through Burmann (who is a clay court specialist anyway) and Gallimore in a tight 3 setter. Stepan was the the stronger overall and Reese's serve was under constant threat. In the end Reese could not take any of the break points on offer and Stepen Melikov takes the first junior major of the year.

Corbalan did then go to a JG2 in Bolivia to try and get enough form to last him until the Copa Gerdau in Brasil. He did decently but was upset in the semi finals by another clay obsessed Spainard named Ambrosio. The end result is that Corbalan had dropped to 27th for Copa Gerdau and was 17th out of the attendees, just out of the seeds. He got an easy enough match in round 1 but came unstuck in round 2 against Wirth who has risen to the 2nd seed. The Brazilian Aldana took out Melikov who is not at his on clay courts. The other side saw the two top clay specialists in Burmann and Amati go head to head in the semis. Burmann won that and the second major of the year with Aldana the only player to take a set off him. He is a red hot favourite for both the Italian and French opens now. Caravia and Shuster, both decently ranked clay specialists took the doubles title. Ma and Wirth did not compete in the doubles this time out. All prep for the Italian and French opens now..



Corbalan also made the quarter finals in the doubles before getting knocked out by the top seeded Ma/Wirth combination. They went on to take the doubles title with ease as expected.
Corbalan ended up in 21st overtaking Ballou.

Natalio Arvizu
Was toying which weeks he should play a competition and ended up playing both making him too tired for the first international group match. He did win one JG4 and make the final of the second bringing him up to an impressive 137th but he won't be touching a competition for a long while now.

After that was just cruel. Anytime he got close to the international team he was pipped at the last second. Including one time when he ended up 3rd on ranking points with the 3rd Argentinian player chosen but was not chosen. Hopefully for the knock outs. The good news is that he won a JG4 competition in both Singles and Doubles so will give a JG3 competition a go. He is up to 139th as a result.
  

"In archery we have something like the way of the superior man. When the archer misses the center of the target, he turns round and seeks for the cause of his failure in himself.”— Confucius

Hard-core fan (ultimate supporter owner)ChristyGI Supporter
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Posted on 2017-09-01 22:17:24
Corbalan:

Bruno needed two competitions to bridge the gap between to the Italian and French Open. First up was a hard court JG1 in Manila, timed for the Junior WC rounds so most of Bruno's rivals would be away at that. It worked well giving him top seed. Quarter finals in the doubles was a bit disapointing. Bruno cruised through to the semi finals where he ended up against American John McCarthy who is a very athletic baseline player running up the rankings. He did not stop here and showed his prowess on hard courts brushing by Corbalan. Semi final is acceptable but I am not overly happy with how he got beaten so easily once he got there. He seems to just roll over for anyone with an edge against him.

Worrying about being too over played going into two big JGA competitions he let his second competition be singles only on a clay JG1 in France. And promptly fell apart. He got a bye to round 2 where he Barrachina of Argentina. He won the first in decent style and after wards he just could not win points. Barrachina dished out 18 double faults but still won the next two sets.

This is where Corbalan was handed a piece of luck as compatriot Calibo had a big semi final from a JG1 turn 52 weeks old so it could no longer count for the rankings. Losing that competition stuck Corbalan just ahead for the WC semi final vs South Africa. Overall Spain are better players but it was on Hard court which favoured the South Africans. The first two matches went 1-1 before Spain managed to edge out the doubles. Disapointing from Corbalan as the opposing pairing did not have high seeds. That left the highly favoured Reese to take on Caravia on a hard court. He showed he had the advantage but somehow just didn't win. Over 5 sets he scored 20 more points than Caravia but lost 3-2! This left Corbalan with the chance to win it for Spain against 60th ranked Durward. On hard courts he could provide a challenge and indeed he went a break up in each of the first 3 sets. Corbalan stormed back in the first two but could not break serve in the 3. Thankfully he stormed through the 4th set to take the match and send Spain to the final.

In the Italian Open plenty more came in for this competition and left Corbalan clinging on to the final seed. The doubles, always a bit of a lottery with partners, went terribly losing in round 1. In the singles he breezed through the first two matches before being drawn against Amati. Probably second favourite for the competition. I didn't expect the win but not taking a single game was just embarressing. Caravia surprisingly knocked out Burmann, the favourite leaving the door open for Amati. He went against Aldana in the finals, himself a solid clay courter and simply did not seem himself leaving Aldana to take the 3rd major of the year.

In the French open he again took the 16th seed and had a similar time out, losing in round 1 in the doubles. Beating off all non seeded opponents in the first two rounds of the singles before coming against the number 1 seeded Melikov who had won the Australian. He only managed 3 games here before bowing out. Interestingly Aldana and Amati met in the Quarters this time out with Amati taking this one before being knocked out by Burmann. I reckon that is the Italian's last chance. He is a clay specialist and for all his physical dominance I reckon he won't have the fitness for the senior game. The final came down to Burmann vs Se-jin Ma. Burmann lost the first set and then only allowed Ma 2 games as he picks up his second major and the top spot in the rankings.

Bruno, not having acheived much recently drops to 40th in the rankings. I am second guessing sending him into Wimbledon as I doubt he will be seeded.

Natalio Arvizu
Natalio has had an easy time of it recently. A big win in a JG3 in Alicante doubles (taking runner up after losing to the top 100 ranked Heath Pichford in 3 sets) helped him onto the national team at last. He lost both of his games as Argentina went down 3-2 to Spain but still good experience. Aside from that he met with stiffer competition at a second JG3 which had multiple top 100 opponents and got knocked out in the quarter finals.

  

"In archery we have something like the way of the superior man. When the archer misses the center of the target, he turns round and seeks for the cause of his failure in himself.”— Confucius

Hard-core fan (ultimate supporter owner)ChristyGI Supporter
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Posted on 2017-09-03 21:47:14
Bruno Corbalan:

A JG1 right before Wimbledon seemed like it would be unpopulated. It was with only bots, who are hard to predict who were ranked higher than him. That said they don't suffer any penalties and are just as dangerous as human controlled opponents. He was ranked 6th going in and ended up with some tough matches from round 3 onwards. Still he got through the 3rd round and the quarters in spite of losing the first set each time, including against the higher ranked Vidal. In the end he lost the Final to the British Mosley after a tough second set. Still 100 ranking points goes a long way to getting back on the Spainish squad and an early exit from Wimbledon was likely. A 3rd round exit in Essen a JG1 on clay was disapointing but not unexpected as the 11th seed.

In Wimbledon itself Gallimore, who built his earlier no. 1 status on entering lightly contested grass competitions suffered a shock exit to the 14th seed Caravia in round 3. Melikov who I had as the favourite, went out in 3 sets to Se-Jin Ma. Burmann then beat Ma in straight sets to give the Swiss man his 3rd major of the year really cementing his position as the no. 1 junior. I am sure that Melikov will start to claw it back in the hard court season though.

In the WC final Corbalan did enough to play but Spain suffered a loss in the final to the USA. I have noticed that with some increases in endurance and more WC/major matches has definitely led to an increase in exp gains recently. Handy as skill increases are getting more expensive. He has just turned 18 as well.

Natalio Arvizu:
His period has been quiet. Trying to bring up experience and get good matches in competitions. He is winning at JG4 level but not quiet in JG3 level yet. Both on clay though, doubt he would get the same results on other surfaces. He is tracking a bit ahead of Corbalan at his age but is growing up a bit quicker so that is not unexpected.

Next time will be the US Open and I will give a quick update of the top 10.



  

"In archery we have something like the way of the superior man. When the archer misses the center of the target, he turns round and seeks for the cause of his failure in himself.”— Confucius

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Posted on 2017-09-08 17:55:09
Us Open:
Corbalan entered this in spite of the risk of being unseeded. It did not pay off and he fell quickly to the top 15 hard court specialist Stagg. Doubles was another disapointment. Unfortunately no one really wants to team up outside of their own stock of players. Pity. In the end Melikov went against Wirth who knocked out Burmann in the final. Wirth was never going to match the hard court ability of Melikov and fell easily.

Osaka Mayor's Cup:
Here it was Reese who knocked out the Burmann in the semi finals to make his second major final. For the second time it was Melikov who faced off against him. The first set was competitive, Reese driving him to 5-5 before going down 7-5,6-1. With his third major of the season Melikov moves back into the number 1 spot in the rankings. Indeed he has only lost one match one hard courts all season (to Reese near the start of the year in a JG2, so Reese can feel disapointed he has yet to convert a chance in one of the majors).

Orange Bowl:
Finally a bit of luck came Corbalan's way here. He got a qualifier in round 1 and was paired up with Kropic, a top 10 player. The bad news was that he had to play Kropic in round 2. Not the best top 16 player to go against but not much Corbalan can do without a seed. In the doubles things went much better including beating the pairing of Shuster and Caravia who already have a doubles major under their belt. In the end they came up just short against Melikov and Ares. In the singles Wirth was on a mission. He beat both Reese and Melikov to get to the final where he beat Stagg (who had knocked out Corbalan from the US Open). A bit of a surprise pairing in the finals. Burmann has seemingly decided to move on from juniors and played in an Amateur competition instead which he won.

Casablanca Cup:
Melikov decided to skip this, coming so soon after the Orange bowl. This left the way clear for Reese and Burmann to meet in the final. At the third time of asking Reese still felt just short giving Burmann his 4th major of the year. Corbalan got knocked out by Caravia in the second round and did not get any heroics in the doubles either.

Bruno Corbalan:
Corbalan had a bad drawer in the US Open and so decided to copy Arvizu's strategy and entered into a JG2 at the same time as the Osaka Mayor's Cup. It largely worked with his main rival being Ambrosio who is a fellow Spainard. Predictably both made their way to the final, where in spite of Ambrosio's superior clay court skills and physical strength, I felt confident in Corbalan's chances. It was a close match as Corbalan dropped the first set before racing into an early lead in the second. He fought off a come back attempt there to force the decider where he was just off the pace a bit. Close match but one Corbalan should have won. This was highlighted in a practise competition the following week with Corbalan beating Ambrosio. In the end he gained little in the ranking as a runner appearance at another JG2 a year ago expired the week before.

Natalio Arvizu
Took a risk and went for a JG2 on clay. JG2 is probably out of his level for the moment but with the US Open on at the same time I figured most of the usuals would be missing from this level. Turned out I was right and the two top 100 players in the competition were overplayed. Quickly he found himself in the semi final and then the final before taking the trophy! Corbalan has never taken a JG2 trophy before so this is a great achievement for a player so much younger. Now some grounding is needed here, both top 100 players were better than Natalio but were overplayed. Corbalan has never had such an easy run but still a great achievement. Brings him up to the top 100 with over two years left in his junior career! With less JG1/2/3s towards the end of the season this is unlikely to change until the 18 year olds (including Corbalan) get flushed at the start of the year. That should bring him well into the top 50.

He did take a JG4 which was nice but was more ensuring he does not lose the points from a JG4 he won near the start of last year.


1. Stepan Melikov (6.96, +0.91, 101%, +6%)
Yup you can go slightly over 100% in terms of your ability. In physical terms he won't get much better than this though his skills will keep him improving. He keeps the top spot in spite of less majors than Burmann, mostly due to more consistent performances. Good speed and endurance as a balanced game kept him in top spot.

2. Linus Burmann (6.61, +1, 97%, +8%)
The most majors including two off off of his favourite surface resulted in a succesful junior career. Definitely one of the more atletic players as well as competing with Aldana for the best serve of any junior. He also did have the number one spot for about half the season.

3. Helmut Wirth (6.5, +0.98, 101%, +5%)
At his physical peak. Not the most athletic but definitely talented hard court player. The major was probably a surprise but he was always capable of the upset. The fittest of the players on the junior circuit as it stands so I forsee a decent senior career as well.

Se-Jin Ma (6.67, +1.11, 101%, +6%)
Wirth's partner and top player to not get a major. Statistically the second best player but never quite hit the top of the majors. One of hte strongest players on the junior circuit.

Cristovao Aldana (6.27, +0.9, 96% +7%)
Took one major in the clay season which was impressive given the opposition. One of the weakeest physically but a powerhouse serve has helped him to be a constant member of the top 10.

Matt Reese (6.7, +1.44, 101%, +5%)
Biggest improvement that is mostly due to his bad build at the start of the year. As the serve has come up so has his ability. Definitely the bridesmaid of the group with 3 finals and no wins. Definitely still the weakest serve from the top 10 but the best baseline player.

Alan Gallimore (5.96, +0.76, 96%, +8%)
Statistically the weakest of the top 10 but managed to somewhat relevant in each of the majors. Having good seedings helped but impressive none the less. Physcially the weakeest and slowest of the top 10.

Jonathan Stagg (6.64, +1.01, 95%, +8%)
A hard court specialist who came up through the ranks throughout the year. By some distance the strongest player and up there with the fastest. A top serve but could use some work on the baseline game to keep up with the top players.

Cetko Kropic (6.24, +0.8, 93%, +8%)
Physically the least developed and so has plenty to improve on and already a greate player. Still has some catching up to do but that will come in time.

Girardo Amati (6.41, +1.08, 99%, +9%)
A greate clay court player, physically imposing and talented. Lacks the endurance for a decent senior career though I reckon.

Bruno Corbalan (5.64, +0.93, 89%, +8%)
Improving along the same pace as the top group but coming from behind. Still should be around longer than the ones above him.
  

"In archery we have something like the way of the superior man. When the archer misses the center of the target, he turns round and seeks for the cause of his failure in himself.”— Confucius

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Posted on 2017-09-08 23:19:03
Here is the new generation of top juniors now that the previous generation has graduated to seniors.

1. Javier Coya (17yr 50wk, 6.02 rating, 98%)
The start off king and in this case I feel like he may keep it. As a clay court specialist he may struggle to win the Australian but should still be looking to go deep in the competition.

2. Yves Chevit (17yr 6wk, 4.93, 84%)
May struggle to keep this position once others start entering into the majors. Not as physically advanced as the others here so it is understandable, more of a long term player.

3. Poznan Colanovic (17yr 23wk, 5.82, 95%)
A hard court player and great all round player. Will be looking to make a splash at the hard court majors. Physically the strongest player in the juniors.

4. Alvar Cederland (17yr 47wk, 5.24, 84%)
Doubles partner of Alan Gallimore. A strong player and another hard court specialist. Strong with plenty of growth to do and he will do it. Whether he does enough to do it this year is up for debate though but should be a strong senior player eventually.

5. Fred Haeusler (17yr 39wk, 5.34, 94%)
A strong player and one of the top baseline players in the junior section.

6. Heine Malmberg (17yr 3wk, 5.1, 84%)
The youngest of the top 10. Physically not so strong but I feel like he does not have enough to keep up here right now.

7. Jong-Pil Jon (17yr 34wk, 4.98, 97%)
A strong player but I just don't think he has enough. Strongest baseline game in the juniors but has too weak of a serve to really trouble the top guys. As soon as that serve improves his overall rating should jump up easily.

8. Hector Yanez (17yr 42wk, 5.73, 90%)
Gave Corbalan fits during his junior career. Plenty of improvement left and already a great player. Will be looking to make ground in the clay court season and there are one or two spots at risk before that as well.

9. Juan Pablo Astudillo (17yr 10wk, 4.64, 88%)
There is not much here in my opinion, a decent player without the ability to truly match the top players. I expect him out of the top 10 soon enough.

10. Jeff Hewer (17yr 15wk, 5.15, 94%)
A strong player, not sure if he has the physical capabilities to really trouble the top players but should remain around the seeding places.

28th. Natalio Arvizu (16yr 33wk, 4.44, 81%)
Probably won't challenge the top players this year but could sneak into getting a seed for one or two big events. Has another year in the juniors after this one as well. There are 3 Argentinians in the top 10 so he is unlikely to make the team this year.
  

"In archery we have something like the way of the superior man. When the archer misses the center of the target, he turns round and seeks for the cause of his failure in himself.”— Confucius

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Posted on 2017-09-18 15:49:58
So had a bit of a gap while I was away. Here is a quick recap on the progress of Bruno and Natalio.

Corbalan:

Has been edging up the senior ranks slowly. Amateur competitions provide plenty of matches, meaning he can take plenty of practise weeks in between competitions. They also give very few ranking points but large chunks of ranking points can wait for a few years. After 6 competitions and 3 wins he finally broke the top 1000. He also had a 3rd round finish and two semi finals. He then had to go into the ranks of the futures. His first future exposure was less than succesful going out in the second round to Lamon from the UK. He was a tough match up and the match lasted in 3. At 24 years of age he had plenty more time to increase his skill values to where Corbalan simply could not handle it even if he had the superior serve. Disappointing as I felt it winnable but anyway onwards and upwards. With so few matches played he will need the next competition soon to keep his form up.

Most of his contemporaries have gone with a heavier competition schedule to get up the ranks quicker, the top 18 results count and if you don't have 18 results they don't count. Still I feel like working on Corbalan's technical abilities first will help more. Burmann is currently leading this age group at 148th. Melikov is 289th but has taken a lighter tournament schedule.

Corbalan is coming into his physical prime at the moment and I want to take advantage of his high endurance to get as much experience as possible. It will be tough if he does not make enough deep tournament runs but he needs it given that skill increases cost more the higher they get.

Arvizu:
Has continued to get some solid results in the JG2 level. Thanks to a stroke of luck he also got 3 weeks with the U18 national squad as one of the top Argentian's slipped heavily in the rankings. He also managed to get seeded for the Italian Open reaching the 3rd round as his seeding dictated was likely, losing to Coya. Thus far Colanovic is leading the Junior rankings with 4 majors so far. Coya has taken the other 3 (all 3 clay ones) and lies in second. His ranking has slipped a bit as he has not managed to repeat the results in JG1s so far but is on track to be a top 5 player once the new year happens.
  

"In archery we have something like the way of the superior man. When the archer misses the center of the target, he turns round and seeks for the cause of his failure in himself.”— Confucius

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Posted on 2017-09-21 21:37:58
Bruno Corbalan:
Finished up playing a futures FT3. Got to the semi final. Got knocked out by a slightly lower seed but the result was fair. The guy was a top 20 doubles player going into singles for a dip. He played 9 competitions on the year, 18 are counted in total so I can see why the top guys skip doubles, it simply is not needed to keep form up and would drive it too high. Bruno did not even make it too far in doubles and still was able to get enough form to last him through the year. He is starting to threaten the top 500. Not exactly a meteoric rise but certainly a steady rise. I don't see him as being ready for the challenger level just yet. Hopefully he can reach that by the end of the year. Having had a quick check on some of the top juniors from his class he has not caught up yet but has certainly closed the gap. Some of that is that their ability is naturally leveling out as they have hit their physical peak but even accounting for that he has still gained more over the last year than them. Keeping up training weeks will take precedence over his rise through the rankings for the moment but some of that will be self correcting, Futures are shorter than Amateur events and he won't keep up the success he had there as I will push him to his limit. Less matches in competition weeks will increase the need for more competition weeks.



Natalio Arvizu:
Managed to get upset towards the end of the year in a JG1 at the quarter final stage in spite of a relatively light field. Not the worst result in the world but knocks him out of a seeding for the Australian. Don't think it is worth pushing him to reach a seed as he would be overplayed anyway. Unfortunately he will also have to defend 100 points from his JG2 win the same week of the Junior Australian Open last year. He could simply switch to the JG2 again but it is unlikely anyone could give him a game this year, the extra exp from the major is worth more in my opinion. A semi final appearance would leave in a position to increase his points total slightly and I expect a quarter final appearance which would limit the losses.
  

"In archery we have something like the way of the superior man. When the archer misses the center of the target, he turns round and seeks for the cause of his failure in himself.”— Confucius

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Posted on 2017-09-24 21:32:44
Bruno Corbalan:

To start the year he has going to FT3s on a slightly more regular basis. I noticed that practise matches were not always the best, he would frequently destroy players around his ranking so I decided to try and improve it. The first FT3 ended in frustration, only picking up 2 points from a quarter final finish after generating a mass of break points and simply not converting them. He lost more ranking points than he gained as his Amateur results from a year ago started to go out of date. The next one went better, especially a big win over Ambrosio in the quarters, a tough match that avoided another disapointment. He ended up being runner up to another Spainard, Calibo. He even made it to the semi finals in doubles, a rare good result there. It moves him into the top 500. He drops out again as an Amateur win is no longer counted (over a year old). He quickly jumps back into the top 450 as he wins another FT3, pretty much at a stroll. With that ranking he may give an FT2 a go in a few weeks.


Natalio Arvizu:
Talk about so close and yet so far. He was seeded 7th by the time the Australian Open came around giving him a decent run to the quarter finals where he met fellow country man Adelfo Olega. Olega was a much physically stronger player and has a preferance for hard courts however Arvizu has a slight advantage in most other areas as well as Olega being overplayed coming in to the match slightly. It was a tight encounter which Arvizu ended up scoring more points (91-90) and generated more break points but ended up losing in 3. As the quarter final exit was worth less than the JG2 win he had a year ago he drops to 9th in the rankings. Duane Ayer utilises his number one seed to take the win. Arvizu had a decent run in doubles making it to the semi finals.

In a bid to get his top 8 seeding back he entered into a clay JG1 in Paraguay. With most players resting at this point he breezed to his first JG1 title. He got back his 7th place in the rankings. The following week he helped Argentina to an emphatic win over Croatia. This left in serious danger of being overplayed so I only entered him into the singles in the Copa Gerdau. As a clay specialist I have high hopes for him here. As expected none of the lower seeds to take him on his favoured surface. In the quarters he faced number two seed Krystof Kouldeka. In a close match that swung this way and that Arvizu outscored him 126-116 and broke him 8 times, only getting broken 6 times in return. Still somehow he enginered a loss, losing the first and third sets on tie breakers. The title would be won by Arunas Vilkas. Arvizu drops to 8th in the rankings. The next round of international tennis has him helping Argentina to a win over the USA so they top the group. The match was essentially win all the rubbers that no. 1 Ayer was not involved in.

He is matching the ability that Corbalan was when he graduated from the Juniors and still has most of the year in juniors so he should be able to take the lower end senior competitions with a running start when it becomes time.
  

"In archery we have something like the way of the superior man. When the archer misses the center of the target, he turns round and seeks for the cause of his failure in himself.”— Confucius

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Posted on 2017-09-28 22:55:39
Bruno Corbalan:

Decided it was time to step up a gear and go with the FT2 level. First off was a clay competition in Portugal. The wheels nearly came off immediately as he lost the first set on a tie break. After that it was a bit easier. Futures can be a mixed bag, plenty of players here are ranked lower than they should due to poor scheduling making them banana skins that can be any seed. He did well before meeting old foe Calibo in the final. Both competed for national team spots in their final year in junior though they have only met once, in the final of Corbalan's last FT3 where Calibo won easily. This time in spite of how much work Calibo puts into clay Corbalan fought for everything and managed 7 aces. In the end Calibo managed more break opportunities but Corbalan's mental game managed to pull him through 6/4, 6/2 (nice change from all the times I complained about it being the other way around).

A second FT2 was on the cards next. A hard court competition in Spain. Here there was very little in his way and he sailed to victory, never under any threat.

I decided to go to FT1 level next. Once again he lost the first set on a tie break but pulled it back, even if he required a final set tie break to do it. Hereafter things were smooth sailing before a 3rd meeting with Calibo in a future final (completing the set of FT1, FT2 and FT3). In a tight match each set was close. Corbalan took the first set but lost the next two. Ah well he is in the top 300 and looking good for the top 200 by the year end. His final Amateur result will expire in a few weeks as well.


Natalio Arvizu:
Depending on national team matches to keep form up for the Italian Open without bringing it too high as the French Open is soon after the Italian. Predictably he fell to 9th but thankfully Olega decided against the competition as he had been overplayed and needs a break before the French Open so Natalio got his top 8 seed. The top 16 seeds eased through the first two rounds without the loss of a set. It required two last set tie breaks but the top 8 all made it through to the quarter finals when the upsets started. Arvizu ended up in against Dick Treffy who was overplayed coming in though and it proved a step too far. Arvizu goes to his first (and mine) major singles semi final. He ended up going out in the semi finals in doubles as well. Vilanas, the winner of the only other clay major so far was knocked out by Mariani at this stage, the Italian was also the man keeping Arvizu out of the top 8. Next up was no. 1 seed Duane Ayer the competition. Duane is the better physically, has a wicked serve and an impressive mental game. In Arvizu's favour was he was in slightly better form, is slightly better on the baseline and is on his best surface bs Ayer's worst. In the end it went too and for with Ayer taking a nervy first set before managing to ease himself to the next two winning 4/6, 6/2, 6/2!!! I can't believe it, I thought he could make a go of it but I didn't think it would go all the way. I am sure Arvizu showed his glory on the court as well.

In the final it was Krystoff Koudelka. An even bigger serve but is not as physical Ayer. Not a clay specialist either. I hoped the surface would reduce the effect of the powerful Czech's serve. The first set had Arvizu take it in confident form. Then the serve difference kicked in, Arvizu had to fight for each of his serves but somehow managed to hold more than he lost, including one game which must have had 4 double faults! His serve isn't meant to be that bad! In the end it was too much and Koudelka won the last two games to win the set. The 3rd set started off in the same way and Arvizu kept fighting for each of his serves and somehow in the end took it and the title! He only generated 8 break points to Koudelka's 16 but converted 5 to the Czech's 4. Arvizu was forced to serve 115 times with nearly every serve under pressure but he held them when it mattered.

Next up was Rolland Garros with very little time to recover. The first shock happened in the second round with Barquero coming from being ranked 20th to knock out the number 1 ranked Ayer! This eased Arvizu's route to the semi finals considerably. Koudelka takes out Olega and the 15th ranked Aranzadi beat Treffy who has had a disapointing season. Vilkas could not put up much of a fight leading to a second clay final vs Koudelka! This time Koudelka was even more clearly the better player, scoring 10 more points and generating 12 break points to Arvizu's 8. Except that most of that damage was done in the second set and Arvizu converted 7 of those 8 break points to beat the Czech 6/3, 0/6, 6/4 (yeah that second went really badly for him). A second major win and the 250 bonus points for a JGS brings him to the top of the junior rankings!

Next up was Wimbledon, with few grass specialists around it is generally a good leveller. Barquero pulled another second round shock, this time defeating Koudelka! He could be a real handful come the hard court season though his lack of seeding could hold him back. A low seeding means you get a lot more tough matches. He was the only player from outside the top 8 to make it to the quarter finals. Mariani beat him to be the only player outside of the top 4 to make the semis. Arvizu had his handful against the Italian in the semis but eventually his serve pulled him into a 3rd straight major final! Ayer was the opponent this time, with one of the biggest serves in the juniors would make him a tough match. The first set was a tight affair but the American won 7/5 before dominating the second set to take his second junior slam 7/5, 6/1. Ah well 3 in a row would be nice but not to be. Ayer moves back to number 1.

With so many hard court specialists the remainder of the majors will have a lot of tough matches if Natalio is to keep up this success.
  

"In archery we have something like the way of the superior man. When the archer misses the center of the target, he turns round and seeks for the cause of his failure in himself.”— Confucius

 
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